Kin's Blog: Did the market hit bottom yet?

Did the market hit bottom yet?

Since March this year real estate sales picked up, stock market rallied over 30%, Index of Consumer Sentiment rose for a fourth straight month, oil price soared.

I will be very happy if the market keep moving like the last few months, I will make more money than in 2007 when the market peaked. It is just too good to be true.

I remerber Warren Buffett's quotation - "Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy And Greedy When Others Are Fearful". I think it is time to short stock.

I guess it is the last phrase of real estate market. When people cannot afford single family house, they buy condo; when they cannot afford condo, they buy co-op, REO/Real Estate Owned by banks. As I am specialized in selling co-op, maybe that is why my business picked up more.

in the last cycle I remembered the co-op price dropped about 50% from peak to bottom in Flushing; in this time it only dropped about 20%.

I hope my guess is wrong, but for people who buy for self-occupied, it is always a good time. Why pay rent while you can own?

 

0 commentsKin Tsui • June 14 2009 03:00AM

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